Special Item Probability

Site-Wide Activity Forums General Discussion Special Item Probability

This topic contains 12 replies, has 4 voices, and was last updated by Profile photo of Lewis Lewis 4 days, 14 hours ago.

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  • #850
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    Does anyone want to help me work out the probability of getting each type of special item? If so, just list the number of each type of special item you get (starting from the guaranteed 7th day spin update) as a reply to this thread and I’ll update the probability table.

    Special Item Amount Probability
    Metal Coat 4 23.5%
    Up-Grade 5 29.4%
    Sun Stone 3 27.6%
    Dragon Scale 2 11.8%
    King’s Rock 3 17.6%

    I will also keep track of the number of each type of special item each of us gets, which will help us see if special items are biome / geographically effected.

    #851
    Profile photo of Jaxx
    Jaxx
    Participant

    first 7 day up-grade
    second 7 day sun stone
    (got another up grade 2 spins later)

    #854
    Profile photo of Jaxx
    Jaxx
    Participant

    3rd 7 day Dragon Scale

    #857
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    Uploaded more data and incorperated the data from @jaxx

    #858
    Profile photo of Carol
    Carol
    Participant

    First 7th day I got Sun Stone
    Second 7th day few pokeshops later I got King’s Rock.
    My third 7th day comes up this Tuesday.

    #859
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    Thanks @carol

    I’ve updated the table. Still a small amount of data, but it’s starting to look like the lowest probability is the Dragon Scale and Kings Rock.

    #870
    Profile photo of Carol
    Carol
    Participant

    Hi Lewis
    This morning on my pokeball run I got another King Stone and a Dragon Scale seems random because tomorrow is my 7th day. I do however have to walk round in circles just to collect enough balls being a small town sometimes 5 to 15km a day.

    #873
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    Thanks @carol.

    I’ve updated the probability based on everyone’s input. It’s still a small data set, but it’s looking like the chance of getting any particular special item is pretty even so far.

    #874
    Profile photo of Lara
    Lara
    Participant

    Every single one has been the Metal Coat. Those along with random ones from poke stops means I have 5. I need a kings rock and a sun stone but I keep getting these (useless to me) metal coats!

    #877
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    If you give me a full list of the special items you got, I will add your data to the list 😃

    #878
    Profile photo of Jaxx
    Jaxx
    Participant

    kings rock this time round

    #879
    Profile photo of Jaxx
    Jaxx
    Participant

    Got a random up-grade today

    #881
    Profile photo of Lewis
    Lewis
    Keymaster

    Added in the latest data. Anecdotally it does seem as though Metal Coat and Up-Grade are the more common special items.

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